With the
US campaign against Yemen now in full swing, I thought it was a good time to update my expectations for the coming year:
1) Reason Trump bombs Houthis now? To prep the ground for Israeli assaults on Gaza and West Bank
2) To weaken Iran's resolve to defend the Resistance wherever it is still supplied and break down those supply lines
3) Yemen being Phase 3 after Hezbollah and Assad
4) IDF has 400k troops, mostly reservists and mostly inside Israel for the Gaza Campaign resumption
5) Israel stocked with fresh loads of American bombs for Gaza
6) Gaza Blockaded and food, electricity cut off/managed by the US and Israel
7) After the Houthis are sufficiently degraded (AND THEY WILL BE) and Iran is sifficiently warned (AND IT WILL BE) the IDF is going to pick a time based on their own internals, probably just after Passover - to cleanse Gaza once and for all. This means heavy bombing and drone sortis combined with half-assed diplomatic overtures by the U.S. to Arab States and African States and African de-facto state "Somaliland" to accept many thousands of evacuating Palestinians, since the Egyptians and Jordanians aren't interested in doing so - but Jordan will be forced to, if it comes down to it.
8) Where pressure fails, regime change will succeed, and either in Africa or Syria or Jordan (highly doubtful Egypt) those Palestinians who manage to survive or escape the assault on Gaza by the IDF will be doggie-trained to their new places for settlement. Others will accept new offers of immigration to certain worldwide nations by sea and plane transport.
9) If Egypt, Jordan, Turks, Iranians want to fight Israel, they are in for a war against THE UNITED STATES. Period. THE UNITED STATES is prepared to commit and authorise Israel to commit large-scale bombing of civilian cities involving mass casualties in order to stop any attempted war against them. Notice I say "them" because the U.S. will be a full war partner now, OFFICIALLY.
10) Hamas to be disbanded, as it is no longer useful. During but also After the Gaza Op, the West Bank (now supposed to be called "Judea and Samaria") will also be flipped totally over to Jewish ownership. I say Jewish because most of the invaders/settlers are not even Israelis but Jews just recently become Israelis via aliyah for the expressed purpose of populating "Judea and Samaria".
11) If a large-scale doggie-train is not yet working for West Bank Palestinians, the U.S. will boss Jordan into taking them, or face regime-change, and that regime change is likely to include a military operation by the USAF and IAF against Abdullah. It is, however, more likely that King Abdullah will bend, and thereby be supported by them in a violent suppression against any and all dissenting Jordanian militias, while the West Bank is emptied of Palestinians, but also there is that chance that the expatriation doggie-train elswhere than Jordan might already be in place. If necessary, he will be brought to the U.K. for safe-keeping while the necessary "defense" of Jordan against its own people takes place.
12) Turkey and Iran will not make moves against THE UNITED STATES while it defends Israel, fearing nuclear annihilation, a very real threat which President Trump and PM Netanyahu will make against them.
13) As this is all transpiring, THE UNITED STATES will fully back out of Ukraine, allow the Russians to do what they will, and use this abstention as a bargaining chip to keep Russia relatively if not completely uninvolved in the grand Eretz Israel campaign. Russia is likely to convince both the Iranians and the Turks not to go to war against Israel, by suggesting to them it is not prepared to begin WW III over the Palestinian Cause, just like it was not prepared to defend Assad. It will, however, keep its bases on the Syrian coast and try to get an independent state for the Alawites, but the Israelis will not allow it, so the U.S. will veto and reject it, as will the U.K. Russia will ultimately have to leave Syria or fight there, and it will opt to leave.
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