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***SlowLoris*** · (This post was last modified: 12-19-2024, 03:08 AM by SlowLoris.)

This is the place to post news about hurricanes. Primarily hurricanes in the Atlantic. If a significant hurricane happens in the Pacific it will be reported as well.

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***SlowLoris*** · (This post was last modified: 11-17-2024, 03:49 PM by SlowLoris.)

The Atlantic hurricane season "officially" runs from June 1- November 30, but five of the last seven hurricane seasons have had a named storm before June 1.

ALERT!

“The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is forecast to feature well above the historical average number of tropical storms, hurricanes, major hurricanes and direct U.S. impacts,” AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Forecaster Alex DaSilva said.

AccuWeather meteorologists are forecasting 20-25 named storms across the Atlantic basin, including 8-12 hurricanes, four to seven major hurricanes and four to six direct U.S. impacts.

“There is a 10-15% chance of 30 or more named storms this year,” Da S i l v a said. The 2020 season featured a record 31 named storms. In 2005 and 2020, the list of 21 storm names (there are no ‘Q’, ‘U’ ‘X’ ‘Y’ or ‘Z’ storms) was exhausted and the Greek alphabet had to be employed. This year, the National Hurricane Center will use an auxiliary list of names rather than going Greek.

If the number of storms gets up into the 20s, that will be the case– but why?

Klotzbach says there’s two main components to the forecast: a current El Niño weather pattern that expected to shift to neutral by the start of the storm season, then to La Niña by the peak in August and September, and sea surface temperatures already at record warmth.

“La Niña typically increases Atlantic hurricane activity through decreases in vertical wind shear. This year’s sea surface temperatures in the eastern and central tropical Atlantic are much warmer than normal, also favoring an active Atlantic hurricane season via conditions that are conducive to developing hurricanes,” the CSU forecast said.

TD: Tropical Depression – wind speed less than 39 MPH
TS: Tropical Storm – wind speed between 39 MPH and 73 MPH
H: Hurricane – wind speed between 74 MPH and 110 MPH
M: Major Hurricane – wind speed greater than 110 MPH
PTC: Post Tropical Cyclone

The list of names for the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season includes:

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Alberto, tropical depression #1 -6/18, TS June 19, PTC June 20

Beryl, tropical depression #2 TD June 28, TS June 29, H June 29, M June 30, Cat 5 July 2, H July 4, TS July 5 (crossing Yucatan), H July 7, TS July 8, TD PTC July 9, gone July 10

Chris, TD #3 June 30, TS July 1, gone July 2

Debby, TD #4 Aug 2, TS Aug 3, H Aug 4, TS Aug 5, TD Aug 8, PTC Aug 9

Ernesto, TD #5, Aug 11, TS Aug 13, H Aug 14, TS Aug 19, PTC Aug 20

Francine, TD #6 Sept 8, TS Sept 9, H Sept 10, PTC Sept 13

Gordon, TD#7 Sept 11, TS Sept 13, TD Sept 15, gone Sept 18

TD #8 Sept 15

Helene, TD #9 Sept 22, TS Sept 24, H Sept 25, M Sept 26, TS Sept 27, TD Sept 27

Isaac, TS Sept 26, H Sept 27

Joyce, TS Sept 27

Kirk, H Oct 1, M Oct 3

Leslie, TS Oct 3

Milton, TD #14 Oct 5, H Oct 6, M Oct 7

Nadine, TD #15 Oct 18, TS Oct 19, gone Oct 20

Oscar, H Oct 19, TS Oct 21, gone Oct 22

Patty, TS Nov 2

Rafael, TD #18 Nov 3, TS Nov 4, M Nov 6, H Nov 6, TS Nov 9, TD Nov 10

Sara, Invest 99L Nov 12, TD #19 Nov 13, TS Nov 14, TD Nov 17

Tony
Valerie
William

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